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City Journal Autumn 2007.
Autumn 2007
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Can Buffalo Ever Come Back?
Edward L. Glaeser

Selected Responses:

Sent by Michael Buckley on 11-28-2007:

Mr. Glaeser's less-than-academic research says: "Buffalo, whose median home value is just $61,000, far below the state average of $260,000," but that's wrong. Go to the National Association of Realtors and you'll see that Buffalo's median housing price is $110,900, which is $40,000 more than stated. Hardly a typo, more like making up data to enforce a pre-opinion. And if you gather statistics for the region (not just the city), the average housing price (different than the median, but equally useful in creating an impression) is $231,000, right up there with the state average.

Edward L. Glaeser responds:

While I appreciate the suggestion that I just make things up out of whole cloth, I regret to inform you that in this case, I used the U.S. Census, American Fact Finder.

The Census is the standard source for housing values in cities, not the National Association of Realtors (NAR), and there is a good reason for that. The NAR gives you the price of average sales during a particular (recent) time period. It does not give you the sales price for an average existing home in a region. Recent home sales are quite unrepresentative of the overall population of housing in a city. They tend to be newer and much more expensive. In an older city, the NAR data is extremely unrepresentative of the city as a whole. Few housing experts would actually use them to look at overall housing costs.

The Census data has its own problems. It represents a self-reported housing value, not a sales price. The research on problems with self-reports suggests that these self-reports tend to overstate actual housing prices, which suggests that the 61,000 figure overstates the true sales prices.

 

More by Edward L. Glaeser:
The Reinventive City
Green Cities, Brown Suburbs
New York Needs Innovation
More . . .
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The Big-Spending, High-Taxing, Lousy-Services Paradigm
Feral Detroit
Whatever Happened to the Work Ethic?
Innovation in Its Place
This story was cited in:
New York Sun
Buffalo News
RealClearPolitics
The Magic Screen And I Are Cousins
Time: Curious Capitalist
AntiRust
The Economist
To the People
Portfolio.com
Artvoice
The Post-Standard
Hartford Courant
Buffalo News (2)



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