The California Nurses Associationone of the states strongest unionsrecently launched a new advertising campaign under the slogan, Nurses Wont Be Pushed Around. The tagline refers to a recent New York Times story describing an apparent physical altercation between Republican gubernatorial nominee Meg Whitman and an eBay employee back in 2007, while Whitman was still the companys CEO. Playing up the class angle, activists for the unionwhich has endorsed Whitmans opponent, Democrat Jerry Brownhave carried signs calling Whitman Queen Meg alongside images of cash and gold. The new line of attack highlights whats becoming the central identity question for the Whitman campaign: will unions succeed in framing her as an aloof, pampered billionaire incapable of understanding the issues of everyday Californians, or will those same Californians see her as a Margaret Thatcher-like Iron Lady who can bring the state back to some semblance of fiscal sanity?
On the other side of the country, New Jersey governor Chris Christie knows something about Whitmans plight. In his efforts to bring state spending on unionized personnel under control, Christies brash leadership style (Time described him as a human bulldozer) is providing a strategic and personal template for budget-conscious governorsand aspiring governorseven as hes become a target for unions and liberal legislators. Recent polling on his job performance highlights the potential costs of this type of governancebut also the opportunities. Whitman and her team should study the Christie example closely.
Christie has become a YouTube hero to fiscal conservatives for his videotaped speeches in support of his Cap 2.5 plan to slow the states property-tax and spending growth to 2.5 percent annually. Hes effectively focused responsibility for out-of-control municipal salaries and benefits on union organizations and not on individual employees like nurses, firefighters, and teachers. During a talk in early June, the governor proclaimed that his effort to cut back K12 funding was not about teachers, and lets make this really clear: the overall majority of teachers are in there for the right reasonsthey love kids . . . but, the union is a different story. At each of his public engagements, Christie is careful to make this distinction, and its a central one, politically, if he hopes to prevail. Public-sector unions know that if the fight can be framed between a governor and a firefighter, theyll win every time.
Through his speeches and press conferences, Christie has also demonstrated the ability to walk the essential tightrope for any fiscal conservative: be tough, but show a sense of humor, too. From his joking dismissal of then-governor Jon Corzines crude attacks on his weight during the 2009 campaign (he predicted hed be a big fat winner), to his dead-on barbs aimed at union leaders, liberal legislators, and reporters, Christie has tempered his straightforward rhetoric and austere policy proposals with one-liners and self-deprecating asides. Whitman could learn from Christie here. Though an experienced speaker from her days in the Fortune 500 world, she appears stiff even in television commercials, not to mention the rare press conference. Hiring a few joke writers probably wouldnt hurt.
For all of Christies straight talk mixed with humor, though, mid-June polling by Quinnipiac University shows that Garden Staters havent entirely fallen in love. On the positive side, Christie continues to be the most popular statewide politician in New Jersey and appears to be succeeding in his efforts to draw a line between public-sector workers and their unions. As the director of Quinnipiac Universitys Polling Institute, Maurice Carroll, puts it, Voters like their kids teachers but they sure dont like the teachers union. But while the New Jersey governors plan to roll back property taxes receives understandably high marks from the voters, almost every spending cut Christie has proposed fails miserably in the poll. Looking at the results, Carroll notes, Almost none of the deficit-cutting things that have been talked aboutexcept the millionaires tax that Christie vetoedwin much support. From state employee layoffs to cutbacks in aid to local municipalities, the governor has trouble mustering 40 percent support.
And on the issue of personality, Christies aggressive demeanor appears to be wearying New Jersey voters. To the question, Would you describe Governor Christie as more of a bully or more of a leader?, respondents divided almost evenly, with 44 percent saying they viewed the governor as a leader, and 43 percent viewing him as a bully. While Republicans and Democrats gave starkly different answers to that question, Independents were slightly pro-Christie (46 percent to 42 percent). The Whitman camp should also take heed of how differently men and women view the Jersey governor. New Jersey men, by 49 to 38 percent, view Christie as a leader, while women saw him as a bully by a nearly identical proportion, 49 to 39 percent. How Californians, particularly women and Independents, assess Whitman on this crucial qualityeither as a tough leader or a silver-spooned bullymay go a long way toward deciding the California governors race this November.
For his part, Christie seems completely unfazed by negative reactions. Like few major politicians in recent memory, the New Jersey governor appears prepared to push ahead with his policy prescriptions, even if doing so condemns him to a single term in office. In remarks over the last several months, Christie has declared that hes not looking for an escape hatch by using obfuscation to describe his policy plans, since he came here to govern, not run for re-election.
Californias outgoing governor, Arnold Schwarzenegger, talked a similar game about being independent and not needing the office, but after his devastating defeats to unions on several budget and union-related ballot propositions in 2005, the Governator never recovered his tough-guy image. In seeking to become the states next governor, Whitman should consider emulating the Christie example. Contrary to the nurses union campaign, Californians indeed may want a governor to do a little shoving around in Sacramentoprovided its for the good of the state and not a self-serving attempt to position her for re-election or higher office. As the bumper sticker reads: Well-behaved women rarely make history.